Tamitu

Tamitu overlays Polymarket markets with an AI-generated buy / sell / stay-out verdict, edge math, and a five-dimension Trust Profile, so you can see at a glance whether the price reflects what's actually likely to happen, without leaving the page. WHAT YOU SEE ON EVERY MARKET A YES / NO / STAY_OUT call with the edge over the current market price, followed by a Trust Profile rated across: - Evidence: quantity and quality of primary sources - Agreement: internal coherence between evidence and forecast - Adversarial Robustness: how well the forecast survives a built-in red-team review - Time Sensitivity: recency of evidence vs how time-sensitive the market is - Resolution Integrity: clarity of the market's resolution criteria You also get the supporting evidence list, the triggers that would change the verdict, and full reasoning prose, not just a number. HOW IT WORKS UNDER THE HOOD Every analysis runs through a seven-stage research pipeline: market parsing, research planning, web retrieval, evidence building, calibrated forecasting, adversarial review, and decision. If the adversarial review flags weak reasoning, the forecast re-runs against the critique. The output is then filtered through an edge threshold, so low-conviction calls return STAY_OUT instead of noise. CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE Switch to the Arbitrage tab to see Polymarket markets matched against Kalshi markets covering the same event. Tamitu uses semantic matching with sentence embeddings, then computes the spread and expected return after each platform's fees. Find pricing inefficiencies across venues without copy-pasting tickers. BUILT FOR Serious traders, quant researchers, and macro desks. Tamitu doesn't tell you what to bet. It tells you what's quantitatively defensible. PERMISSIONS - activeTab and host access for polymarket.com: to read the market slug from the page you're on - storage: to remember widget position, theme, and analysis history locally - Network access to tamitu.ai: to run the analysis pipeline on Tamitu's backend Your settings live in chrome.storage on your device. We never sell your data. DISCLAIMER Prediction markets carry substantial risk of loss. Tamitu is an analysis tool, not financial advice. All analysis is AI-generated and may be inaccurate. You are solely responsible for your decisions. Visit tamitu.ai to learn more.